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The Walking Dead: Who Dies Next? We Give Odds on Every Character We Can

With Andrew Lincoln, the actor who plays Rick Grimes on AMC’s adaptation of the hit Image Comics […]

With Andrew Lincoln, the actor who plays Rick Grimes on AMC’s adaptation of the hit Image Comics series The Walking Dead, telling Rolling Stone this week that 27 people will die in the forthcoming season finale, we figured it was as good a time as any to look at the odds and see which characters we believe are toast this year.Starting with the least likely and escalating–and please do understand that these odds have no basis in any kind of mathematical reality at all, except that it’s what we’d personally set them at if we were go gamble (which we don’t) and had that kind of money (which we don’t).So for the love of all that’s holy, don’t actually take these numbers as meaning anything other than “More or less likely than the person immediately above or below them on the list.”Rick Grimes (1,000,000 to 1)He’s the main character, and the face of the franchise in all of the marketing. Plus, anything horrible that happens to the rest of the group will reflect on his leadership and weigh on him. Additionally, people involved with the production have said that next season, his leadership will be called into question. Little point in that if he’s dead.

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Michonne (500,000 to 1) Carl Grimes (100,000 to 1)
The Walking Dead Maggie Pregnant
Glenn Rhee (1 to 10,000) Tyreese (100 to 1)
Dr. Stevens (50 to 1) black, male leads The Walking Dead Hershel Greene (50 to 1) Allen (10 to 1)
Andrea from AMC's THE WALKING DEAD
The Governor/Philip Blake (1 to 1) The Walking Dead Karen (1 to 10) Noah (1 to 20)
Sasha (1 to 50) Merle Dixon (1 to 100) Ben (1 to 200)
The Walking Dead Milton
Caesar Martinez (1 to 1,000) Shupert/Bowman (1 to 2,000) The Walking Dead Wiki Judith (1 to 25,000)
There are a number of extras in Woodbury, too, who seem like they’re just primed to be cannon fodder, but who are still technically named characters. We’ll list those here and give them about the same odds as we give Judith, since knowing very little about them it’s impossible to differentiate them all: Paul (pictured), Rowan, Ms. McLeod (more if we can track down names for any of them).